Search:
Mitt Romney Gets Squeezed
01-30-2008
I am still processing the impact of John McCain’s victory in yesterday’s Florida Republican Primary. Having written recently about the likelihood of a battle between Rudy Giuliani and Mike Huckabee for third place in the state, I was particularly interested to observe the fallout from that match-up. Given that Giuliani had staked the future of his campaign on a victory in Florida, I am not surprised to see that his third-place finish is sufficient to drive him from the race. But Huckabee using his fourth-place showing as a springboard into next Tuesday’s large slate of contests is another matter.
 
All of this is bad news for Mitt Romney. Giuliani’s imminent endorsement of McCain will help the Senator with moderate GOP'ers and independents on the coasts, in places like New York, New Jersey and California, and Huckabee’s decision to stick around will hurt Romney with religious conservatives in states like Alabama, Georgia, Missouri, Oklahoma, and Tennessee. Romney’s best hope in recent weeks has been the possibility of an eventual head-to-head match-up with McCain, in which social conservatives finally coalesce around his candidacy. Both Giuliani and Huckabee have now complicated that scenario significantly, each in his own way.
Add/View Comments

Bush Sets the Foreign Policy Table
01-29-2008
Heading into his seventh and final State of the Union address last night, President Bush was certainly in no enviable position for a politician. But, despite his circumstance as an unpopular president defending an unpopular war, while facing a potential recession at the end of two long terms in office, Bush was no less passionate on Iraq, Iran, and the Global War on Terror than he has been in past addresses. These policies form the ideological core of his presidential legacy, and they will set the table for voters in November, with one of the starkest foreign policy choices in recent memory.
 
For anyone following the Republican presidential race, it should be abundantly clear by now that all of the candidates (except Ron Paul, of course) strongly support President Bush’s worldview on these issues. They may quibble about how the Administration has managed its efforts, but they have offered no public disavowals of the core tenets of Bush foreign policy. In contrast, anyone watching the Democratic presidential contest should realize by now that those candidates seek to dismantle Bush foreign policy. They may argue over how quickly this can be accomplished in Iraq, but there is no disagreement about the ultimate goal.
 
So, President Bush’s speech last night was really about firmly drawing a bright partisan line in the proverbial policy sand one final time. Now, we must all wait until November, to learn on which side of that line the next president will stand.
 
You can hear more of my take on last night’s State of the Union address here.
Add/View Comments

The State of Our Union is...
01-28-2008
I am going to briefly shift gears over the next 24 hours, in order to reflect a bit on President Bush’s final State of the Union address, taking place at 9 p.m. tonight. Tomorrow morning, I will be a guest on New Hampshire Public Radio’s The Exchange, to participate in a wrap-up of the evening. You can listen to the show live here (lower left) at 9 a.m., or catch it later here. Tomorrow night, it’s back to Florida.
Add/View Comments

Two for the Price of One
01-28-2008
For those of you who were as fascinated as I was by Bill and Hillary Clinton’s controversial tag team performance in South Carolina last week, here is an interesting piece by historian Garry Wills, from Saturday’s New York Times, on why the Founders decided against the idea of a plural executive when framing our system of government. I am sure that I was not the only one riveted by the unusual sight of Bill Clinton, rather than Hillary, first conceding South Carolina to Barack Obama on national television Saturday night.
Add/View Comments

Do Not Adjust Your Television
01-25-2008
One of the central criticisms of adopting a single national primary day to pick presidential nominees is that having all voters select their preferred candidate on the same day would reduce democratic deliberation.  Critics argue that it would force campaigns to rely heavily on television advertising (and fundraising) nationwide, rather than on more traditional forms of retail politics in a series of individual states.
 
Well, as the New York Times notes today, we are now getting our first glimpse of what a post-retail nominee selection process might look like, as the Democratic candidates roll out their essentially national ad campaigns in the many primary and caucus states simultaneously holding contests on February 5th. So, for those of you in the roughly two dozen affected states, try on a national primary for the next 10 days, and let me know how it feels.
Add/View Comments

The Republicans Pause for Tea
01-25-2008
If, as suggested previously, the Republican presidential race in Florida is shaping up to be a contest between John McCain and Mitt Romney, then nothing that occurred at last night’s mellow debate in Boca Raton is likely to change that scenario. It may be that, in the wake of Monday’s tumultuous Democratic debate in South Carolina, the Republican candidates were hesitant to go that same route for fear of alienating Florida voters. It may also be that, with five days still left to campaign in Florida, the candidates are simply willing to let the contest develop a bit more organically on the retail stump, rather than force the issue, through a potentially jarring set of nationally-televised debate exchanges.
 
Regardless of the motivations for this underlying group dynamic, it made for a fairly sedate viewing experience.  John McCain continued his attempt at détente with the establishment conservatives who have attacked him mercilessly in recent weeks, and who seem to be slowly coalescing around Mitt Romney as the favored alternative. Romney, in turn, helped his own cause with a strong performance on the new dominant campaign issue, the economy. Either for strategic reasons, or perhaps through inertia, the incredibly high stakes did not motivate Rudy Giuliani beyond his typically solid debate performance. At a minimum, it was clear last night that he is no longer the central focus of these forums, in the way that he once was. We will know in about 10 days, whether Giuliani’s January 29th/February 5th scheduling gamble was the smart bet.
Add/View Comments

It's Showtime for The Mayor
01-24-2008
It is no secret that political observers and the media have largely given Rudy Giuliani a pass for his unwillingness to compete in virtually any of the primaries and caucuses preceding the Florida Primary, on January 29th.  This is partially due to the lead Giuliani held in national polls for most of 2007, but also to the fact that no one really knows for sure what the impact of our remarkably frontloaded schedule will be on the nominee selection process. The Giuliani campaign has often claimed that a win in Florida, and a strong showing in many of the states holding contests on February 5th, are all that it needs to launch the Mayor on his way to the nomination. While this strategy has received plenty of skepticism, no one (including myself) has been willing to say, in advance of Florida, that Giuliani is done for sure.
 
So, if you need a reason to watch tonight’s Republican presidential debate (MSNBC, 9 p.m.), proximity to Giuliani’s day of reckoning should be sufficient motivation. With the Mayor trailing both John McCain and Mitt Romney in the state, the stage is set for an event that may rival Monday’s Democratic debate in South Carolina.
Add/View Comments

Paring (Pairing) Down Your Republican Options
01-23-2008
In the past two weeks, I have put up a couple of posts assessing key Republican pairings in the three significant post-New Hampshire contests leading up to the large slate of primaries and caucuses on February 5th. With Mitt Romney besting John McCain in Michigan, and McCain subsequently topping Mike Huckabee in South Carolina, only the Florida Primary on January 29th remains of these initial pairings. In Florida, the possibility of a crucial match-up between Rudy Giuliani, who has largely staked his candidacy on winning there, and Mike Huckabee, who, with a strong finish in South Carolina, could be positioned to capitalize on his appeal to social conservatives, has been of particular interest to me.
 
But that scenario is now a bit more complicated than it once was. Giuliani and Huckabee are indeed locked in a struggle, but if you believe recent polling, theirs is a battle for third place, behind McCain and Romney. Having not received any real boost from his close loss to McCain in South Carolina, Huckabee is now scaling back his campaign operation in Florida. In the meantime, Giuliani continues to pay a hefty political price for his absence from virtually all of the earlier Republican contests, both in terms of his standing in national polls and his fundraising ability. So, Giuliani and Huckabee continue to be a pairing of interest in Florida, if only to better understand who may be the next Republican to drop out of the race.
Add/View Comments

Where Have You Gone, Joe Biden?
01-22-2008
After about an hour of last night’s rancorous Democratic presidential debate in South Carolina, I found myself wishing for one of those Joe Biden zingers from earlier debates that always seemed to break the tension in the air. Although the candidates were on better behavior when seated later in the debate, one can’t help feeling just a little bit grimy, after some of the nastier exchanges between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.
 
While Obama’s performance may help with his immediate task of winning the South Carolina Primary on Saturday, it nonetheless underscores the extent to which the dynamics of the Democratic contest have shifted since the early days after Iowa. All along, Obama’s movement candidacy has been driven by the notion that it can transcend traditional constituency-based politics. Early on, it was premised on the idea that momentum in Iowa and New Hampshire would generate a bandwagon effect, carrying Obama quickly to the nomination. Even with strong showings in New Hampshire and Nevada, however, that scenario is clearly no longer operative.
 
For me, last night’s pitched battle suggests that the contest has moved firmly back onto Hillary Clinton’s preferred political terrain.   Like her husband, Clinton excels at close-in rhetorical combat, sharply wielding attacks against her rivals and appeals to her key constituencies. As much as Obama may yearn for the time a few weeks ago, when he seemed to float briefly above the political fray, the race now looks to be a traditional Democratic brawl over who can best mobilize their core constituencies, based on appeals to race, gender, ethnicity, and economic status. Perhaps not what Obama had in mind after Iowa, but, after last night’s debate, there appears to be no turning back.
Add/View Comments

Al Gore Redux
01-18-2008
Since Hillary Clinton’s surprise win in the New Hampshire Primary last week, much has been made about Clinton finally discovering her voice as a candidate. But a piece in yesterday’s New York Times reminds us that this process of redefinition has actually been underway for quite some time. As the article notes, Clinton has debuted several public personas over the past year, and a quick web search underscores this thesis with similar stories from January, May, October and December of 2007. The Times article goes on to suggest that, even with the winning chord struck by Clinton in New Hampshire, the personality tweaking is not yet complete:
 
“…as her advisers said after New Hampshire, Mrs. Clinton cannot cry her way to the Democratic nomination. So she and her team have been searching for the right personality to help her connect emotionally with voters.”
 
As I reflect on Clinton’s ongoing struggle to recast her public persona, I am increasingly reminded of Al Gore’s similar experience with personality issues, during his run for the presidency in 2000. I reread a selection of press coverage from that 2000 presidential campaign season, and was struck anew by the way Gore was pilloried in the media for being a “stiff” and “wooden” candidate.  In the wake of his Nobel Prize and the critical success of An Inconvenient Truth, it seems we have almost forgotten Gore’s public humiliation over disclosure that he was advised to transform his candidacy by wearing earth-toned suits and being more alpha male than beta. No one would deny that Gore now sports a very different public persona than he did back then.
 
It would be nice to think that Clinton has finally settled on her authentic self, but my guess is that we have not seen the last of these periodic adjustments to her political persona. While Democratic primary and caucus goers seem to be generally accepting of this very public quest for personal authenticity as a candidate, Al Gore would probably advise Hillary Clinton that potential Republican opponents will not be quite as understanding.
Add/View Comments

Count Me In
01-17-2008
When I posted an item on Tuesday about requests for hand recounts of both the Democratic and Republican results from last week’s New Hampshire Primary, we were still waiting to see whether the two candidates involved would be able to produce the requisite funds by the State’s 3 p.m. deadline. While Democrat Dennis Kucinich came in with sufficient funds to undertake a partial recount focused on two counties, Republican Albert Howard did not.  Howard did, however, produce a check the following afternoon to cover the cost of a complete Republican recount, and Secretary of State Bill Gardner appears willing to proceed. So, in several weeks, we may learn that there were problems with one or both of the electronic vote tallies, or that this was simply much ado about nothing.
Add/View Comments

Now Do-Si-Do Your Republican Partner
01-16-2008
Last week, I wrote about key Republican candidate pairings that I would be watching closely, during the upcoming pre-February 5th primaries. For two of those pairings, Mitt Romney and John McCain in Michigan, and Mick Huckabee and Fred Thompson in South Carolina, the short-term strategic picture has become a bit clearer, even as the party’s search for its likely nominee has become measurably more complicated.
 
With a decisive win in Michigan now under his belt, Mitt Romney lives to campaign another day in the Southeast. For me, the tenor of his performance in Michigan only underscores how much better served Romney would have been by running nationally as a pro-business Republican with great management skills, rather than as a social conservative with a strongly ideological worldview. At least Romney can claim to have done better with Evangelicals in Michigan than he did in Iowa. Perhaps that will give him renewed hope for South Carolina and Florida.
 
John McCain now moves on to South Carolina, as well, where the usual suspects have already sharpened their knives in anticipation. His ability to deal with these personal attacks will, in part, determine the likelihood of success for his strategy of capturing the state’s veteran/national security vote. As was true in 2000, McCain still needs to demonstrate that he can pull in significant numbers of Republican votes in a state other than New Hampshire.
 
As for Mike Huckabee and Fred Thompson, lest you need any additional evidence that my initial pairing of the two in South Carolina was appropriate, take a look at the statement released by the Thompson campaign immediately after the Michigan results were announced last night:
 
“Mike Huckabee’s campaign to be John McCain’s Vice President has hit a snag. He has gone from the mid-thirties in Iowa to 11% in New Hampshire and now about 15% in Michigan. On higher taxes and looser immigration, Huckabee has been done his best these past few weeks to mimic McCain. But this is nothing new. In fact, while John McCain was leading the Senate charge to grant amnesty for illegal immigrants, Mike Huckabee was one of the loudest cheerleaders. And at the same time McCain was voting against the Bush tax cuts, Huckabee was in Arkansas increasing taxes some 21 times.”
 
So, Huckabee and Thompson continue their pitched battle for the support of social conservatives in South Carolina. Huckabee’s underperformance with Evangelicals in Michigan, where one would have expected his combination of economic populism and religious conservatism to pay dividends, was no doubt a disappointment for his campaign. But it is Romney’s improved showing with this group in Michigan that may truly complicate the ability of any single candidate to win the lion’s share of conservative support in either South Carolina or Florida.
Add/View Comments

Down for the Count
01-15-2008
Out-of-state readers may not be aware that two presidential candidates have requested official recounts of both the Democratic and Republican results from last week’s New Hampshire Primary. Today’s Concord Monitor takes a fascinating look at the substantial cost and effort that would go into recounting all 525,000 ballots by hand. As the article suggests, the requests by Democrat Dennis Kucinich and Republican Albert Howard feed into the larger ongoing debate over the dependability of electronic voting machines and ballot counters. Because neither candidate finished within three percentage points of their respective primary winners, they will have to foot the hefty price tag on their own. Kucinich and Howard have until 3 p.m. today to come up with the cash.
Add/View Comments

The Contextual Candidate
01-14-2008
I watched Hillary Clinton’s appearance on Meet the Press yesterday, and was struck by the number of times she used the word context in response to Tim Russert’s predictable fusillade of questions. Russert dutifully walked Clinton through her remarks on Martin Luther King, Jr. and Lyndon Johnson, her 2002 vote on the Iraq War Resolution, and Bill Clinton’s fairytale take on Barack Obama. Whether claiming that her comments were taken out of context, or that her actions needed to be put into context, Clinton seemed determined to recast virtually everything that Russert threw at her in a more positive light.
 
It is true that revisiting the conditions surrounding a particular political moment can sometimes shed new light on past behavior. But an excessive reliance on this approach can also blur the line between clarification and spin. Indeed, after several iterations, Clinton’s calls for context began to feel more like a strategy, and less like a legitimate request for fairness and greater understanding.
Add/View Comments

Women of Interest
01-11-2008
Given all of the discussion about the crucial role that women voters played in Hillary Clinton’s New Hampshire victory, I was not surprised to see that Barack Obama is running a new campaign ad in Nevada that focuses exclusively on them.  The ad intersperses now familiar footage of Obama’s Jefferson Jackson Dinner speech in Iowa with cutaway shots of several women watching attentively from the audience. What I find so interesting is that the ad makes no explicit pitch to women voters, yet the message is obvious. You can watch the ad here, and decide for yourself.
Add/View Comments

This Dance is for Republican Couples Only
01-10-2008
The New Hampshire Primary’s first-in-the-nation status provides us with the luxury of assessing all of the presidential candidates on a single playing field. On the Republican side, with the notable exception of Fred Thompson, we were able to get a close look at the breadth and depth of the party's competition. But such will not be the case on February 5th, when two dozen states hold their contests, in what will be the closest thing to a national primary ever experienced by our presidential selection process.
 
Given that reality, I am not surprised to see the Republican candidates now being selective about how and where they compete leading up to that day of reckoning; each one is looking for a leg up in one or more of the preceding three contests – Michigan, South Carolina, and Florida – in order to demonstrate viability going into the big day on February 5th. With that in mind, I will be following several key pairings closely in the next few weeks.
 
In Michigan, I will be watching the contest between Mitt Romney and John McCain. Having just pulled his advertising in South Carolina and Florida, Romney is setting up Michigan to be his last stand. Having already lost in New Hampshire, where he enjoyed a home court advantage of sorts, he now looks to capitalize on his family’s deep political ties to Michigan. Although McCain won here in 2000, he will need to once again demonstrate that he has the energy and resources to build upon his success in New Hampshire. A victory for McCain would help to counterbalance another potentially difficult run in South Carolina.
 
In South Carolina, I will have my eye on the competition between Mike Huckabee and Fred Thompson. Huckabee will attempt to parlay his success in Iowa into strong support among social conservatives in the state. It wasn’t all that long ago, however, that Thompson was being sized up as a potential standard-bearer by this same group of voters. While they appear to have coalesced around Huckabee in Iowa, this has not stopped Thompson from suggesting that he may receive a better reception from them in South Carolina. Like Romney in Michigan, a victory here is essential for Thompson to continue.
 
In Florida, I will be eager to see what a fully engaged Rudy Giuliani can do against Mike Huckabee. For weeks now, Giuliani has set up Florida as the place where his candidacy will finally take off. The conventional wisdom is that, since Florida is chock full of retirees from the Northeast, they will rally behind the former New York City mayor. I have talked to several folks from the state, however, and they suggest that social conservatives in Florida’s panhandle and elsewhere may actually provide fertile ground for the Huckabee campaign.
 
So, we will have three crucial contests in short order, each with critical implications for one or more of the Republican candidates. While it is certainly most convenient to watch them all compete in a single state (my own), it will nonetheless be fascinating to see how each candidate sets expectations for his campaign, based upon where he is most competitive prior to that jackpot day in early February.
Add/View Comments

You Can Say That Again
01-09-2008
Well, the armies of campaign staffers have dispersed, and the last satellite truck has headed out on the interstate. All that is left are memories and a whole lot of muddy campaign signs. If you are looking for analysis of last night’s primary results, my appearance this morning on New Hampshire Public Radio’s The Exchange will give you a good sense of my initial reaction to the Clinton and McCain victories. You can listen to the show at your leisure here. I will be back up tomorrow with new content for you.
Add/View Comments

All Politics is National?
01-08-2008
In the past 48 hours, I have heard both Rudy Giuliani and Hillary Clinton attempt to lower expectations for New Hampshire by noting that their strategy has always been to run a national campaign. For Giuliani, whose campaign presence in New Hampshire has always been uneven, this statement is consistent with his prior behavior. Since mid-November, he has largely looked past New Hampshire to Florida on January 29th and to the 24 state primaries and caucuses on February 5th. But for Clinton, who just a few days ago stated that New Hampshire represented a fresh start for her campaign, the statement underscores a sudden realization that her first opportunity to gain any significant traction may well be in some of the states holding contests on February 5th.
 
If either Giuliani or Clinton is able to capture their party’s nomination without winning any of the early contests, then we will know for sure that the frontloaded schedule has fundamentally altered the dynamics of the presidential selection process, moving us sharply toward a more nationalized style of politicking. Some would argue that we have already moved significantly in that direction, just through the tremendous impact of digital technology and the internet on how campaigns run, and on how voters consume political information. A fragmented field of Republican winners may provide Giuliani with the opportunity he seeks. But if Hillary Clinton is able to win the Democratic nomination, after losing to Barack Obama in three or four early contests, then we will know for sure that, whatever New Hampshire’s future role in the presidential selection process, all politics is no longer local.
Add/View Comments

Will He Ever Stop Talking?
01-07-2008
As promised, for those of you who just can’t get enough, here are a few places where you can hear some extended analysis from me, during the next 48 hours:
  • Tuesday afternoon, I will be a guest on the Boston-based NPR program, Here & Now. You can find information about the show’s affiliate stations and broadcast times here.
     
  • Tuesday evening, I will be an in-studio political analyst for WMUR-TV (ABC, Ch. 9), starting at 7 p.m. and continuing throughout the evening.
     
  • Wednesday morning at 9 a.m., I will be a guest on New Hampshire Public Radio’s The Exchange, to do a post-primary wrap-up. You can listen to the show live here, or catch it later here.
     
  • Wednesday morning at 10 a.m., I will be a guest on Minnesota Public Radio’s Midmorning. You can find more information about the show here.
Add/View Comments

Where's Rudy?
01-06-2008
As I watched the Republican debate last night, I noticed that it felt downright odd to see Rudy Giuliani in the flesh and blood talking presidential politics at a New Hampshire political venue. Watching Giuliani turn in a solid debate performance, only underscored the extent to which he has been absent from the Granite State, and from the recent Republican presidential campaign discourse, as well.
 
Giuliani’s campaign has blown hot and cold in New Hampshire over the past year. Some thought the state might be a good match for him, particularly on social issues. But the campaign never hit its stride here, and now Giuliani must hope that the early Republican contests see a plurality of winners, so that there is still no dominant frontrunner when the race moves on to Florida on January 29th, and to the 24 states holding primaries and caucuses on February 5th. If either Mike Huckabee or John McCain builds significant momentum through multiple victories before that time, Giuliani may find that New Hampshire was an opportunity unnecessarily missed.
Add/View Comments

Satellite Tonight
01-06-2008
I will be a guest on Beyond the Beltway with Bruce DuMont this evening, from 7 to 9 p.m. Bruce is an old-school radio legend from Chicago, so I look forward to doing his show, when it hits New Hampshire every four years. You can listen to the show live on XM Radio channel 130 (POTUS ’08), or you can find the closest terrestrial radio outlet here.
 
Also, if you missed yesterday’s Primary Primer on New Hampshire Public Radio, you can listen to the show here.
Add/View Comments

Talkin' 'Bout My Generation
01-05-2008
When I read Hillary Clinton’s comment yesterday that she would, “…in the next five days, do as much as I can to talk about my record in creating opportunities for young people,” it made me cringe. Stung by the dramatic loss of young voters (particularly young women) to Barack Obama in Iowa, Clinton has decided that she must work harder to lure young voters into her campaign’s fold.
 
I was teaching at Dartmouth College in 1996, when Bob Dole staged a remarkably awkward campaign event with MTV’s Choose or Lose Bus at Dartmouth’s Alpha Delta Fraternity (of Animal House fame). Dole was quite explicit that this was his attempt to connect with “the young people.” I am not suggesting that Hillary Clinton is a geriatric campaigner, and many of us remember Bill Clinton’s brilliant appearance on MTV, during the 1992 campaign (briefs, not boxers). But my experience with students has taught me that the minute you treat them as a demographic group to programmatically managed, you lose them.
 
I was still at Dartmouth in 2000, when John McCain mesmerized students with his mantra urging them to become part of something greater than their own self-interest. As a result, young voters were an integral part of McCain’s victory here. Like McCain in 2000, Obama seems to understand the need to appeal to young voters’ sense of civic empowerment, rather than to their individual self-interest. It certainly feels like Obama’s campaign has caught some of the McCain mojo this time around.
 
Clinton still has an opportunity to make her best case to young voters. But if she tries to wonk the vote with them, by detailing how all of her various policy proposals are in their own self-interest, she will make little headway in reversing the tide that carried Obama to victory in Iowa.
Add/View Comments

Bounce Baby Bounce
01-04-2008
I wrote recently that conditions in the Democratic contest were such that a strong showing in Iowa might allow either Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama to run the table through New Hampshire and South Carolina. Well, we will now get to see if that is indeed the case for Barack Obama.
 
New Hampshire’s undeclared voters, motivated by concerns over the Iraq War and spiraling healthcare costs, have long expressed an interest in participating in the Democratic primary this year. Obama’s victory last night in Iowa, coming with a healthy dose of independents, may give them just the push they need to jump in with both feet.
 
It is also true that a resurgent John McCain will draw from this pool of undeclared voters, but he is perhaps even more likely now to garner support from Republicans who no longer see Mitt Romney as the most viable alternative to Mike Huckabee. In any event, we will soon see whether New Hampshire’s fabled undeclared voters can bounce both Obama and McCain across their respective finish lines.
Add/View Comments

Steve Forbes? Really?
01-04-2008
I find myself in the somewhat unusual position of wanting to defend Mitt Romney, in the wake of his loss last night in Iowa. I was bit surprised by the relish with which other candidates, political professionals, and the media all piled on to condemn Romney as the rich guy who tried to buy the election. I knew for sure that the political silly season was in full swing, when television commentators started comparing him to Steve Forbes and Phil Gramm.
 
Political professionals and the media judge the viability of political campaigns in large part by their ability to raise money and build organizations on the ground in the early states. By both of these measures, Romney has been a legitimate contender throughout this election cycle. The fact that he had been the frontrunner in both Iowa and New Hampshire for most of the past year is no small accomplishment, either.
 
I have been tough on Romney on a number of occasions over the past year, and he may eventually regret his decision to go negative over the past few weeks. But losing to Mike Huckabee, a former Baptist minister, in a Republican contest where some entrance polls identified upwards of 60% of GOP caucus-goers as Evangelical Christians, does not mean that Romney’s political organization in Iowa was fundamentally flawed. For whatever challenges the Romney campaign now faces in New Hampshire and beyond, comparing him to Steve Forbes, an economic curiosity, and Phil Gramm, one of the worst campaigners in recent memory, misses the mark.
Add/View Comments

Gonna Get Some Lozenges
01-03-2008
In a bit of a departure from the past few months, I will be spending much of the next five days talking, rather than writing, about presidential politics and the New Hampshire Primary. You will have ample opportunity to hear/watch/read my analysis on a daily basis. I will do my best to keep you apprised of my media whereabouts, and will continue to post to the website. But you just never can tell when my smiling face might pop up on your television screen, or my dulcet tones waft out of your car stereo.
 
I will be kicking things off with a special Saturday broadcast at New Hampshire Public Radio. I will be joining host Jon Greenberg at 4 p.m. for a live primary preview. You can listen over the web here.
Add/View Comments

Your "Primary" Sanity
01-02-2008
If you missed my Sunday Portsmouth Herald piece on the shortened five-day interval between the Iowa Caucus and New Hampshire Primary, you can read it here. I have also posted a copy in the Essays section of this website.
Add/View Comments

Our Sponsor
Archives
October 2007
November 2007
December 2007
January 2008
February 2008
March 2008
April 2008
May 2008
June 2008
July 2008
August 2008
September 2008
October 2008
November 2008
December 2008
January 2009
February 2009
March 2009
April 2009
May 2009
June 2009
July 2009
August 2009
September 2009
October 2009
November 2009
December 2009
January 2010
February 2010
March 2010
April 2010
May 2010
June 2010
July 2010
August 2010
September 2010
October 2010
November 2010
December 2010
January 2011
February 2011
March 2011
April 2011
May 2011
June 2011
July 2011
August 2011
September 2011
October 2011
November 2011
December 2011
January 2012
February 2012
March 2012
April 2012
May 2012
June 2012
July 2012
August 2012
September 2012
October 2012
November 2012
December 2012
January 2013
February 2013
March 2013
April 2013
May 2013
June 2013
July 2013
August 2013
September 2013
October 2013
November 2013
December 2013
January 2014
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014

Copyright ©2007 NHPoliticalCapital - Dean Spiliotes. Web design by: J Maze Design