The Clinton Firewall
02-12-2008
Yesterday, I noted that the Clinton campaign views contests in Texas and Ohio on March 4th, as a firewall against any momentum Barack Obama might gain from a potential string of 10 victories in February. An article in today’s New York Times underscores, in rather stark terms, just how central these two states have become to the Clinton campaign’s strategy.
 
On the specific issue I raised in the post, of whether the concept of momentum is still applicable to this race, Hillary Clinton’s communications director, Howard Wolfson, thinks not, telling Patrick Healy, “There is no evidence that voters are voting based on momentum — in fact the evidence is to the contrary.” The future viability of the Clinton campaign may very well hinge on the accuracy of Wolfson’s assessment. In three weeks, we will know if he was correct.


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