Clocks Back, Presidential Politics Forward
I hope you had a chance to catch some of my post-election analysis last week. If you haven’t already had your fill, you can still get a good dose here and here. I’m actually a bit burned out on midterm electoral politics at this point, but I’ll return to posting on it as developments dictate, especially once the lame duck and new legislative sessions get under way. We should very quickly get a better sense of how Republicans plan to translate their big midterm gains into actual governance.
Not surprisingly, I’ve actually spent a fair bit of time over the past week talking 2012 presidential primary politics with journalists and political observers in both parties. This biennial transition from midterm election to presidential politics feels as predictable to me as the end of daylight saving time. So, I’ll be transitioning with more presidential primary content in my posts, as well – after all, there are only about 15 months left until the New Hampshire Primary.
I continue to believe that the New Hampshire Primary will provide an opportunity for a Republican candidate to serve as an ideological counterweight to the social/religious conservative who could very well emerge with momentum from Iowa and South Carolina. Given former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney’s history with the Granite State, it’s no surprise to see him dominating early polling here, but there will be plenty of time for other candidates to challenge his local frontrunner status. You may remember that Howard Dean’s lead in New Hampshire seemed insurmountable in the year leading up to the 2004 New Hampshire Primary, and we all know how that turned out for him.

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